Update of the chronology of natural signals in the near-surface mean global temperature record and the Southern Oscillation Index

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dc.contributor.author De Freitas, Christopher en
dc.contributor.author McLean, JD en
dc.date.accessioned 2014-03-05T02:26:45Z en
dc.date.issued 2013 en
dc.identifier.citation International Journal of Geosciences 4(1):234-239 2013 en
dc.identifier.issn 2156-8359 en
dc.identifier.uri http://hdl.handle.net/2292/21829 en
dc.description.abstract Time series for the Southern Oscillation Index and mean global near surface temperature anomalies are compared for the 1950 to 2012 period using recently released HadCRU4 data. The method avoids a focused statistical analysis of the data, in part because the study deals with smoothed data, which means there is the danger of spurious correlations, and in part because the El Ni?o Southern Oscillation is a cyclical phenomenon of irregular period. In these situations the results of regression analysis or similar statistical evaluation can be misleading. With the potential controversy arising over a particular statistical analysis removed, the findings indicate that El Nino-Southern Oscillation exercises a major influence on mean global temperature. The results show the potential of natural forcing mechanisms to account for mean global temperature variation, although the extent of the influence is difficult to quantify from among the variability of short-term influences. en
dc.relation.ispartofseries International Journal of Geosciences en
dc.rights Items in ResearchSpace are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated. Previously published items are made available in accordance with the copyright policy of the publisher. Details obtained from http://www.sherpa.ac.uk/romeo/issn/2156-8359/ en
dc.rights.uri https://researchspace.auckland.ac.nz/docs/uoa-docs/rights.htm en
dc.rights.uri http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/ en
dc.title Update of the chronology of natural signals in the near-surface mean global temperature record and the Southern Oscillation Index en
dc.type Journal Article en
dc.identifier.doi 10.4236/ijg.2013.41A020 en
pubs.issue 1 en
pubs.begin-page 234 en
pubs.volume 4 en
pubs.author-url http://www.scirp.org/journal/PaperInformation.aspx?paperID=27382& en
pubs.end-page 239 en
pubs.publication-status Published en
dc.rights.accessrights http://purl.org/eprint/accessRights/OpenAccess en
pubs.subtype Article en
pubs.elements-id 411720 en
dc.identifier.eissn 2156-8367 en
pubs.record-created-at-source-date 2013-11-28 en

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