Forensic Applications of Bayesian Inference to Glass Evidence

Abstract

The role of the scientist in the courtroom has come under more scrutiny this century than ever before. As a consequence, scientists must constantly look for ways to improve the validity of the evidence they deliver. It is here that the professional statistician can provide assistance. The use of statistics in the courtroom and in forensic science is not new, but until recently has not been common either. Statistics can provide objectivity to subjective assessments and strengthen a case for the prosecution or the defence, but only if is used correctly. The aim of this thesis is to enhance and replace the existing technology used in statistical analysis and presentation of trace evidence, i.e. all non-genetic evidence (hairs, fibres, glass, paint, etc.) and transfer problems.