Abstract:
The Pakistan flooding of 2014 was subject of a recent blog in which the “lesson’s identified never learnt” have been investigated. Similar to previous events this flooding (2010 flooding in the Kabul river) affected a large number of people and had a devastating effect on the population. In this blog, we analyse the atmospheric predictability of this event. In summary, we show that there has been a signal indicating flooding as early as the 30th of August, which can be seen in the precipitation forecasts of ECMWF as well as in the discharge forecasts of the Global Flood Awareness System.