dc.contributor.author |
Robinson, Philip C |
|
dc.contributor.author |
Frampton, Christopher |
|
dc.contributor.author |
Phipps-Green, Amanda |
|
dc.contributor.author |
Neogi, Tuhina |
|
dc.contributor.author |
Stamp, Lisa |
|
dc.contributor.author |
Taylor, William |
|
dc.contributor.author |
Merriman, Tony R |
|
dc.contributor.author |
Dalbeth, Nicola |
|
dc.coverage.spatial |
England |
|
dc.date.accessioned |
2021-10-17T20:18:14Z |
|
dc.date.available |
2021-10-17T20:18:14Z |
|
dc.date.issued |
2021-8-28 |
|
dc.identifier.citation |
BMC rheumatology 5(1):33 28 Aug 2021 |
|
dc.identifier.issn |
2520-1026 |
|
dc.identifier.uri |
https://hdl.handle.net/2292/57001 |
|
dc.description.abstract |
<h4>Introduction</h4>Elevated serum urate (SU) concentration is the central risk factor for the development of gout. The aim of this study was to examine the incidence of gout in people with low and normal SU levels (< 7.00 mg/dL).<h4>Methods</h4>Longitudinal cohort data from the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study (ARIC), Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young Adults Study (CARDIA), and both the Original and Offspring cohorts of the Framingham Heart Study (FHS) were used to determine incident gout by baseline SU over 3, 5, 10, 12 and 15 year periods. A Cox proportional hazards model with covariables of age, gender, ethnicity, and cohort was calculated to report the hazard ratios (HR) for incident gout.<h4>Results</h4>The incidence of gout at 15 years for a baseline SU < 4.00 mg/dL was 0.59%, 4.00-4.49 mg/dL was 1.28%, 4.50-4.99 mg/dL was 0.86%, 5.00-5.49 mg/dL was 0.94%, 5.50-5.99 mg/dL was 1.52%, 6.00-6.49 mg/dL was 2.91%, 6.50-6.99 mg/dL was 3.2%, and > 7.00 mg/dL was 12.2%. In an adjusted Cox proportional hazards model, compared to the referent baseline SU < 4.00 mg/dL, there was a non-significant increase in incident gout for baseline SU bands between 4.00-5.49 mg/dL, whereas incident gout was significantly increased for SU 5.50-5.99 mg/dL (HR 2.60), 6.00-6.49 mg/dL (HR 3.70), 6.50-6.99 mg/dL (HR 5.24) and > 7.00 mg/dL (HR 18.62).<h4>Conclusion</h4>A baseline SU of 5.50 mg/dL or more is a risk factor for development of gout over 15 years. However, incident gout does occur over time in a small proportion of people with lower baseline SU levels. |
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dc.format.medium |
Electronic |
|
dc.language |
eng |
|
dc.publisher |
Springer Science and Business Media LLC |
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dc.relation.ispartofseries |
BMC rheumatology |
|
dc.rights |
Items in ResearchSpace are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated. Previously published items are made available in accordance with the copyright policy of the publisher. |
|
dc.rights.uri |
https://researchspace.auckland.ac.nz/docs/uoa-docs/rights.htm |
|
dc.rights.uri |
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ |
|
dc.subject |
Diagnosis |
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dc.subject |
Epidemiology |
|
dc.subject |
Gout |
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dc.subject |
Incidence |
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dc.subject |
Incident |
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dc.subject |
Urate |
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dc.title |
Longitudinal development of incident gout from low-normal baseline serum urate concentrations: individual participant data analysis. |
|
dc.type |
Journal Article |
|
dc.identifier.doi |
10.1186/s41927-021-00204-4 |
|
pubs.issue |
1 |
|
pubs.begin-page |
33 |
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pubs.volume |
5 |
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dc.date.updated |
2021-09-06T22:08:17Z |
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dc.rights.holder |
Copyright: The author |
en |
pubs.author-url |
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34452645 |
|
pubs.publication-status |
Published |
|
dc.rights.accessrights |
http://purl.org/eprint/accessRights/OpenAccess |
en |
pubs.subtype |
research-article |
|
pubs.subtype |
Journal Article |
|
pubs.elements-id |
865300 |
|
dc.identifier.eissn |
2520-1026 |
|
dc.identifier.pii |
10.1186/s41927-021-00204-4 |
|
pubs.number |
33 |
|
pubs.online-publication-date |
2021-8-28 |
|